eDiscovery Daily Blog
Seriously, Your “Mashup” of eDiscovery Market Estimates Can’t Possibly Be Any Earlier, Right?: eDiscovery Trends
The appearance of the mashed potato graphic can only mean one thing (besides making me hungry, that is!). It’s time for the eDiscovery Market Size Mashup that Rob Robinson compiles and presents on his Complex Discovery site each year. It’s also become an annual tradition for him to release it earlier and earlier each year. And, this year is no exception.
Last year, Rob released his annual mashup over the Christmas holidays. This year, Rob released his worldwide eDiscovery services and software overview for 2018 to 2023 – before Thanksgiving! I almost missed it. At this rate, I predict it before Halloween next year… :o)
This is the seventh(!) year we have covered the “mashup” and we can continue to gauge how accurate those first predictions were. The first “mashup” covered estimates for 2012 to 2017 and, last year, we took a look how close the estimate was for 2017 way back when. This year, we can look at the original 2018 estimate for 2013 to 2018. We’ve also covered the estimates for 2014-2019 (in two parts), 2015 to 2020, 2016 to 2021 and 2017 to 2022 and will undoubtedly look at those in future years.
Taken from a combination of public market sizing estimations as shared in leading electronic discovery publications, posts, and discussions (sources listed on Complex Discovery), the following eDiscovery Market Size Mashup shares general market sizing estimates for the software and services area of the electronic discovery market for the years between 2018 and 2023.
Here are some highlights (based on the estimates from the compiled sources on Rob’s site):
- The eDiscovery Software and Services market is expected to grow an estimated 13.09% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) per year from 2018 to 2023 from $10.11 billion to $18.7 billion per year. Services will comprise approximately 69.9% of the market and software will comprise approximately 30.1% by 2023.
- The eDiscovery Software market is expected to grow at an estimated 13.23% CAGR per year from $3.02 billion in 2018 to $5.62 billion in 2023. In 2018, software comprises 29.9% of the market and, by 2023, 62% of the eDiscovery software market is expected to be “off-premise” – a.k.a. cloud and other Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)/Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS)/Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) solutions.
- The eDiscovery Services market is expected to grow at an estimated 13.03% CAGR per year from 2018 to 2023 from $7.09 billion to $13.08 billion per year. The breakdown of the services market by 2023 is expected to be as follows: 65% review, 19% processing and 16% collection.
If we look at the original “mashup” that we covered for 2013 to 2018, the original eDiscovery Software and Services market estimate for 2018 was $11.02 billion, the original Software portion of the estimate was $3.31 billion and the original Services portion of the estimate was $7.72 billion. So, the original software estimate was overstated at .29 billion, while the original services estimate was overstated by .63 billion. Overall, that’s an overstatement of .92 billion. Not surprising, since the CAGR for both has declined in the latest estimates. Here is the variation in CAGR over all seven “mashups” we have covered.
A couple of other notable stats:
- The U.S. constitutes approximately 64% of worldwide eDiscovery software and services spending in 2018, with that number decreasing to approximately 59% by 2023.
- Off-Premise software spending constitutes approximately 52% of worldwide eDiscovery software spending in 2018, with that number increasing to approximately 62% by 2023. This is a slower move to off-premise than previously forecasted.
So, what do you think? Do any of these numbers surprise you? Please share any comments you might have or if you’d like to know more about a particular topic.
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